Building Better Forecasts Together
We work with businesses who want their financial planning grounded in reality, not guesswork.
Since early 2024, we've been helping Australian companies move away from spreadsheet chaos and towards forecasts that actually make sense. Our approach isn't flashy — just clear thinking about numbers that matter.
Three-Layer Forecasting Framework
Most budgeting falls apart because it tries to predict everything at once. We break it down differently — starting with what you know, then building outward from there.
The first layer captures your operational baseline. What actually happened last quarter? Where did money move, and why? This sounds obvious, but you'd be surprised how many planning sessions skip this step entirely.
- Pattern recognition across your actual transaction data, not industry averages
- Seasonal adjustment based on your specific business cycles
- Risk corridors that show probable ranges rather than single-point estimates
- Scenario modeling that accounts for market conditions in Australia specifically
We've found this approach helps partners spot cash flow issues about six weeks earlier than they would otherwise. Not exactly revolutionary, but it matters when you're trying to make payroll decisions.
Common Issues We Help Sort Out
After working with dozens of businesses through 2024 and into 2025, certain problems keep showing up. Here's what we see most often — and what we do about it.
Challenge
Revenue Timing Gaps
Your sales team closes deals, but cash doesn't land when the forecast says it should. Payment terms stretch, invoices sit unpaid, and suddenly your Q2 numbers look nothing like the plan.
- Map your actual collection patterns over the past twelve months
- Build payment probability curves based on customer segments
- Create buffer zones that reflect real-world timing variations
- Set up early warning triggers when collection rates drift
Challenge
Fixed Cost Creep
Small monthly increases compound quietly. Software subscriptions, insurance renewals, contractor rates — they all inch upward while your budget holds them flat. Six months later, you're wondering where the margin went.
- Quarterly cost baseline reviews with year-over-year comparison
- Subscription audit process that catches auto-renewals
- Rate escalation modeling for predictable vendor increases
- Decision frameworks for when to renegotiate versus accept increases
Challenge
Growth Investment Timing
You know you need to invest in capacity — new staff, better systems, expanded inventory. But when? Too early and you're burning cash before revenue arrives. Too late and you can't fulfill demand.
- Leading indicator tracking specific to your business model
- Capacity threshold analysis that shows when constraints bind
- Staged investment planning with clear trigger points
- Payback period modeling under different growth scenarios
Challenge
External Shock Absorption
Interest rate changes, exchange rate swings, supplier disruptions — things happen that your model didn't plan for. And then everything needs to be recalculated under pressure.
- Stress testing frameworks applied to your actual cost structure
- Contingency planning that identifies your most vulnerable points
- Rapid reforecasting protocols you can activate quickly
- Recovery pathway mapping for different disruption types
"We were constantly surprised by our own numbers. Not anymore. The three-layer framework helped us see patterns we'd been missing for years — particularly around seasonal cash conversion timing."
Finance Director, Regional Distribution
Brenton's team manages forecasting for a mid-sized logistics operation across Tasmania and Victoria. They started working with us in March 2024 after two consecutive quarters of cash flow surprises that weren't showing up in their monthly reports. The issue wasn't revenue — it was timing between delivery completion and payment receipt. Once we mapped their actual collection curves by customer segment, they could plan working capital needs with much better accuracy.
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